New National Polls Show Upward Trend for Donald Trump

Former President Donald Trump has been on an upward trajectory in national polling, with three new surveys showing him drawing level or close with Vice President Kamala Harris less than two weeks before Election Day.

A poll released on Friday by The New York Times/Siena College showed Trump and Harris deadlocked at 48 percent support each among registered U.S. voters. The poll was conducted among 2,516 voters over the phone between October 20 and October 23 and has a margin of error of 2.2 percent.

The previous edition of the poll, conducted among 2,516 registered voters between September 29 and October 6 with a 2.2 percent margin of error, showed Harris with a slim 2 percentage point lead over the former president. Harris was backed by 48 percent of voters, while Trump was backed by 46 percent.

The New York Times noted on Friday that the new poll result was “not encouraging for Ms. Harris” since Democrats have managed to win the national popular vote in all presidential elections since 2008, despite former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton losing to Trump in the Electoral College in 2016.

Newsweek reached out to the Trump and Harris campaigns via email for comment on Friday.

A CNN/SSRS poll released on Friday also showed the candidates deadlocked, with Trump and Harris each backed by 47 percent of likely voters. The poll was conducted over the phone between October 20 and October 23 and has a 3.1 percent margin of error.

In the previous edition of the CNN poll, released in September, Harris was backed by 48 percent of likely voters, while Trump was backed by 47 percent. The CNN and New York Times polls were both the final national surveys that the outlets will release during this election cycle.

A national poll released on Friday by Tufts Public Opinion Lab showed the former president nearly level with the vice president. Harris was backed by 49 percent of likely voters, while Trump was supported by 48 percent. The result was well within a 4 percent margin of error.

Harris was 4 points ahead of Trump in the Tufts poll among all adults surveyed, while the vice president had a 5-point advantage among voters who said they would “definitely” vote or had already voted. The poll was conducted online among 1,033 U.S. adults between October 21 and October 23.

Trump had small national leads over Harris in multiple polls released earlier this week.

A CNBC survey released Thursday showed the ex-president up by 2 points (48 to 46 percent) over the vice president among registered voters. The poll was conducted among 1,000 U.S. voters between October 15 to 19 and has a 3.1 percent margin of error.

The former president was also leading nationally by 2 points (51 to 49 percent) in a HarrisX/Forbes poll released on Wednesday. The survey, conducted among 1,244 likely voters on October 21 and 22, had a margin of error of 2.5 percent.

Other polls showed Harris leading Trump.

In a tracking poll released by TIPP Insights on Friday, 49 percent of voters backed Harris, while 47 percent backed Trump. The survey, conducted among 1,357 likely voters between October 22 and October 24, had a margin of error of 2.7 percent.

A Big Village poll released on Thursday had Harris up by a much wider 7-point margin. Among 1,592 likely voters surveyed between October 18 and October 24, 52 percent preferred Harris, and 45 percent preferred Trump. The poll has a 2 percent margin of error.

An average of recent polls compiled by FiveThirtyEight showed Harris leading nationally by 1.4 points as of late on Friday afternoon. The vice president was leading by up to 2.4 points last week and had her biggest average lead of 3.7 points in August.